Multivariate EMD-Based Modeling and Forecasting of Crude Oil Price

نویسندگان
چکیده

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Multivariate EMD-Based Modeling and Forecasting of Crude Oil Price

Recent empirical studies reveal evidence of the co-existence of heterogeneous data characteristics distinguishable by time scale in the movement crude oil prices. In this paper we propose a new multivariate Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD)-based model to take advantage of these heterogeneous characteristics of the price movement and model them in the crude oil markets. Empirical studies in be...

متن کامل

An EMD-Based Neural Network Ensemble Learning Model for World Crude Oil Spot Price Forecasting

In this study, an empirical mode decomposition (EMD) based neural network ensemble learning model is proposed for world crude oil spot price modeling and forecasting. For this purpose, the original crude oil spot price series were first decomposed into a finite and often small number of intrinsic mode functions (IMFs). Then the three-layer feed-forward neural network (FNN) model was used to mod...

متن کامل

Forecasting Crude Oil Price Volatility

We use high-frequency intra-day realized volatility to evaluate the relative forecasting performance of several models for the volatility of crude oil daily spot returns. Our objective is to evaluate the predictive ability of time-invariant and Markov switching GARCH models over different horizons. Using Carasco, Hu and Ploberger (2014) test for regime switching in the mean and variance of the ...

متن کامل

Modeling and Forecasting Effects of Crude Oil Price Changes on the US and UK GDP

        This paper proposes a new forecasting model for investigating relationship between the price of crude oil, as an important energy source and GDP of the US, as the largest oil consumer, and the UK, as the oil producer. GMDH neural network and MLFF neural network approaches, which are both non-linear models, are employed to forecast GDP responses to the oil price changes. The resul...

متن کامل

Crude Oil Price Forecasting with Anfis

Crude oil pricing is commonly expressed as a formula referenced to Brent or WTI crude oil. The final price of these two qualities and the spread between WTI and Brent can drive the decision when the purchase of a crude oil cargo is evaluated. A crude oil price-forecasting model is presented. It is based on past data, inventory level and volatility index and it is derived with a neuro fuzzy infe...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Sustainability

سال: 2016

ISSN: 2071-1050

DOI: 10.3390/su8040387